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Nickelless
Administrator
    
 USA
5580 Posts |
Posted - 03/18/2008 : 13:09:34
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I just saw this on Yahoo News:
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quote: NEW YORK - Oil prices rebounded Tuesday as a rally on Wall Street and the prospect of a large interest rate cut drew buyers back to the futures market.
Retail gas prices, meanwhile, slipped slightly for the second day in a row, while diesel prices rose further above $4 a gallon.
Oil advanced as a rally in the stock market gave investors hope that the economy will weather the credit market problems that forced the Federal Reserve-backed sale of Bear Stearns Cos. to JPMorgan Chase & Co. The Dow Jones industrial average was boosted by better than expected earnings from Bear Stearns competitors Lehman Brothers Inc. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
Energy investors often view movements in equities markets as a proxy for the economy's health.
Light, sweet crude for April delivery rose $2.24 to $107.92 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
On Monday, oil prices plunged by $4.53 a barrel on concerns that Bear's collapse was a sign of deeper economic problems. That drop marked a rare departure for oil traders from the dollar-driven buying that has sent crude to record levels.
Also boosting oil prices Tuesday were expectations that the Fed will aggressively cut the key federal funds rate Tuesday afternoon as it tries to stave off a severe economic crisis. In the past several months, rate cuts have fed oil price rallies as investors buy crude futures to hedge against inflation and the falling dollar. Also, oil futures are priced in dollars, which makes them cheaper for foreign investors as the greenback falls.
"If recent history is a guide, a (1 percentage) point reduction by the Fed (Tuesday) could result in oil rising to the $114 to $116 range over the course of the next weeks," said Larry Chorn, chief economist at Platts, the energy research arm of McGraw-Hill Cos., in a research note.
However, a smaller rate cut could send oil prices lower; many analysts believe oil investors are banking on a full percentage point cut.
Steve Bellino, senior vice president for energy at MF Global LLC, agrees with many other analysts who feel oil prices aren't supported by the market's underlying supply and demand fundamentals, but thinks oil's Monday swoon was just a correction in a bull market rather than a sign market sentiment is turning.
"The ... market's run is not done yet," Bellino said.
That could be bad news for consumers. Gas prices followed oil futures to a series of records last week, though the national average price of a gallon of gas slid 0.3 cent to $3.28 a gallon Tuesday, according to AAA and the Oil Price Information Service. Prices are 73 cents higher than a year ago, and the Energy Department expects gas to peak near $3.50 a gallon in the spring as suppliers stock up before peak summer driving season. Some analysts see prices rising even higher, to $3.75 or $4 a gallon.
Gas prices are combining with high food prices and a downturn in the housing market to limit consumers' ability to spend, cutting retail sales, and have boosted prices of everything else. But crude's surge has also sent diesel and jet fuel prices climbing, hurting trucking firms and pushing airlines to consider mergers or steep capacity cuts.
Diesel rose 1.3 cents to a new record national average of $4.015 a gallon Tuesday. Delta Air Lines on Tuesday offered buyouts to 30,000 employees, about half its work force, and said it will cut domestic capacity 5 percent this year to cope with soaring fuel prices.
Other energy futures also rebounded Tuesday from steep declines in the previous session. April heating oil futures rose 1.32 cents to $3.0816 a gallon while April gasoline futures rose 8.59 cents to $2.5901 a gallon. April natural gas futures jumped 22.8 cents to $9.328 per 1,000 cubic feet.
In London, May Brent crude futures rose $2.65 to $104.40 a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.
So if higher oil prices reflect optimism in the strength of the economy in light of the Fed's rate cuts...but high energy prices are the source of a lot of economic pain right now...and since higher oil prices reflect weakness in the dollar...but according to the White House (well, maybe not Bernanke) a strong dollar is good...I don't get it.
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Edited by - Nickelless on 03/18/2008 13:11:39 |
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HoardCopperByTheTon
Administrator
    

USA
6807 Posts |
Posted - 03/18/2008 : 15:52:20
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What is it they used to call it? ...
VooDoo Economics   |
If your percentages are low.. just sort more. If your percentages are high.. just sort more.
Now selling Copper pennies. 1.6x plus shipping. Limited amounts available. |
Edited by - HoardCopperByTheTon on 03/18/2008 15:52:42 |
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cheeple
Penny Sorter Member


USA
67 Posts |
Posted - 03/19/2008 : 18:06:17
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| From what I hear, the price of gas right now is still cheaper than it was in the 30's, if you factor in the GNP. |
Retire in 2 years with a monthly income of $1,396 per month, what makes this recession proof? it's over 60 Countries Strong. berrytreemadeeasy.com |
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silverhalide
Penny Sorter Member


92 Posts |
Posted - 03/20/2008 : 12:40:44
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That article is very flawed. Commodities especially in the last month have risen recently only in response to a weak dollar so to combat it they raised the margin requirements for the commodity markets which has forced the recent sell off in commodities and in turn helped the dollar's strength because of all of the cash pouring in "safe" treasuries.
Of course there was no published trigger event to forsee this coming as there was no trigger event to cause this as well as the trigger to the subprime crisis other than you knew it was an underlying problem.
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