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 Signs of deflation you might not be able to see
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Ardent Listener
Administrator


USA
4841 Posts

Posted - 05/16/2010 :  20:55:47  Show Profile Send Ardent Listener a Private Message
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Bluegill
1000+ Penny Miser Member



USA
1964 Posts

Posted - 05/16/2010 :  22:07:01  Show Profile Send Bluegill a Private Message
Hmmm. All 5 of his example involve credit. Too many years of too easy credit. 4 of them real estate related.

It is possible to have inflation and deflation at the same time. Anything that has to be produced with less valuable dollars will cost more. Anything that is a used consumer item that wears will go down in value. It goes down because consumers have less of their income to spend because of rising costs of food, taxes, utilities, clothes, etc...

The real estate correction is far, far from over. Housing was (and still is) absurdly overpriced because of too easy credit. It will never get back to those prices again, at least not in the life time of anybody reading this post. Not with the median wage declining and property taxes going up... Not with the rising cost of living consuming more of the declining wages. Not without more subprime lending...

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brian0918
Penny Collector Member



USA
315 Posts

Posted - 05/17/2010 :  07:44:27  Show Profile  Send brian0918 an AOL message Send brian0918 a Private Message
The government could certainly cause short-term deflation in reaction to observed inflation, but eventually they will have to resort to further inflation to "pay off" our country's debts. Either that or some combination of inflation, huge tax increases, massive reduction in benefits, and *gasp* debt restructuring.

"The man who speaks to you of sacrifice, speaks of slaves and masters. And intends to be the master." -- Ayn Rand

Searched: $2230 Nickels; Liberty: 1; Buffalo: 4; War: 20; 2009: 2; 2010D: 8
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