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Dalsuh
Penny Hoarding Member
USA
757 Posts |
 Posted - 01/27/2010 : 15:51:56
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I read this on 321gold.com, is the author saying he expects $16 silver in 2012?
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Update on the Sunshine Saga
Bob Moriarty
Archives
Jan 27, 2010
The bankruptcy court in Idaho has set the dates for bidding on the Sunshine Mine and final settlement of the sale.
February 15, 2010 Due date for deposits and qualification of bidders
March 31, 2010 5:00 PM Due date for bids from qualified bidders
April 5, 2010 8:00 AM Auction
April 6, 2010 9:30 AM Sale approval hearing and plan confirmation
April 15, 2010 Closing of sale
Contrary to what Alberta Star has been saying in press releases, they do not have a binding contract for the Sunshine Mine and mill. When a company is in bankruptcy, the Court determines the terms of deals, not the debtor-in-possession. That was little more than a publicity gesture from Alberta Star that was pretty meaningless. If the market took them seriously, they might be selling for more than the cash they have on hand.
We will learn in three weeks just how many people intend to bid for the Sunshine. Minco Silver is going to bid; I think we can safely presume Alberta Star will. Others might. Anyone who has not put in a deposit by February 15th and been qualified may not bid. We will learn on April 5th just who the next operator of the Sunshine Mine will be.
Just as a matter of interest, Minco Silver has announced receipt of their Land Use Permit for their Fuwan project in China on the 25th of January. Minco is in the process of acquiring the surface rights to the property in order to begin mine construction. Production could begin in mid 2012 of 5.5 million ounces of silver per year with a cash cost of about $5.65 an ounce with an IRR of 46% at $16 silver.
Presently Minco Silver has a market cap of about $71 million less about $12 million in cash and another $9.5 million invested in Sterling. Either they end up with the Sunshine or they get their money back. Both are good alternatives but it makes Minco one of the closest to production primary silver mines in the world.
My opinion is that Fuwan all by itself is worth a lot more than the present market cap. If Minco captures the Sunshine, it's an entirely new game with a new valuation. A higher valuation. Fuwan has 101 million ozs of silver in indicated and inferred resource, and 55 million ozs Ag reserves.
We are shareholders; I do have options on both Minco Gold and Minco Silver as a consultant to Minco. I am biased. Minco is an advertiser.
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thogey
1000+ Penny Miser Member
USA
1617 Posts |
Posted - 01/27/2010 : 16:11:19
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I think he is saying that, given: the Fuwan project in production, and a silver price of 16, the internal rate of return will be 47%.
I don't read it as a prediction, but merely as a price to examplify what the IRR would be given a cash production cost of 5.65 and an example market price. |
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Edited by - thogey on 01/27/2010 22:35:23 |
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Dalsuh
Penny Hoarding Member
USA
757 Posts |
Posted - 01/27/2010 : 16:52:08
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quote:
Originally posted by thogey
I think he is saying that given: the Fuwan project in production, and a silver price of 16, the internal rate of return will be 47%.
I don't read it as a prediction but merely as a price to examplify the what the IRR would be given a cash production cost of 5.65 and an example market price
Thanks thogey, that makes sense. I was thinking, "What does he know that I don't know!" |
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thogey
1000+ Penny Miser Member
USA
1617 Posts |
Posted - 01/27/2010 : 22:39:41
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| I'm suprised it made sense at all. I had to go back and correct spelling and grammer. Hence the edit. I'm glad you could de-cipher my brain damaged musings. |
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