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 Why the worst lies ahead for the labor market
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Nickelless
Administrator


USA
5580 Posts

Posted - 08/10/2009 :  23:17:14  Show Profile Send Nickelless a Private Message
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Country
1000+ Penny Miser Member



USA
3121 Posts

Posted - 08/11/2009 :  11:18:57  Show Profile Send Country a Private Message
Some forecasts don't have the unemployment rate getting back to "normal" levels of around 5 percent until 2014.

The economy needs to produce a net gain of roughly 127,000 jobs each month just to absorb new job seekers created by population growth and immigration. To create more jobs than that requires some strong economic activity. But most analysts expect growth to be weak over the next four years.


The labor market always lags the economy. More opportunity is needed.

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The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
– Theodore Roosevelt
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jonflyfish
Penny Hoarding Member



USA
693 Posts

Posted - 08/11/2009 :  12:42:26  Show Profile  Send jonflyfish a Yahoo! Message Send jonflyfish a Private Message
The forecasts did not predict job losses until the economy cracked. Then the unemployment predictions were spoon fed by a chest thumping administration that they would not be as bad as they are and unemployment has not bottomed out yet. Also, a quick lesson for the AP- "normal" levels of unemployment are nowhere near 5%. That is recent history and such a level is generally considered "full employment".

The first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; second is war. Both bring a temporary (and false) prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. But both are the refuge of political and economic opportunities.
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